Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006696 0.007493 0.008362 0.009382 0.010548 0.011844 0.013399
2025-03-09 0.005362 0.006432 0.007695 0.009307 0.011324 0.013783 0.017036
2025-03-16 0.004482 0.005618 0.007031 0.008935 0.011464 0.014747 0.019398
2025-03-23 0.003981 0.005171 0.006714 0.008891 0.011930 0.016092 0.022348
2025-03-30 0.003749 0.005027 0.006750 0.009283 0.012986 0.018319 0.026800
2025-04-06 0.003348 0.004605 0.006349 0.009000 0.013023 0.019060 0.029121
2025-04-13 0.003027 0.004257 0.006011 0.008757 0.013069 0.019787 0.031482
2025-04-20 0.002815 0.004044 0.005841 0.008739 0.013441 0.021043 0.034861
2025-04-27 0.002707 0.003972 0.005872 0.009024 0.014315 0.023203 0.040104
2025-05-04 0.002536 0.003790 0.005714 0.008987 0.014642 0.024465 0.043902
2025-05-11 0.002405 0.003656 0.005618 0.009038 0.015119 0.026034 0.048509
2025-05-18 0.002253 0.003479 0.005436 0.008923 0.015282 0.027039 0.052144
2025-05-25 0.002152 0.003381 0.005385 0.009044 0.015917 0.029069 0.058372
2025-06-01 0.002025 0.003231 0.005236 0.008981 0.016205 0.030479 0.063568
2025-06-08 0.001861 0.003007 0.004942 0.008623 0.015884 0.030611 0.065903
2025-06-15 0.001763 0.002890 0.004825 0.008581 0.016178 0.032052 0.071569
2025-06-22 0.001737 0.002894 0.004923 0.008957 0.017361 0.035565 0.083020
2025-06-29 0.001620 0.002729 0.004700 0.008686 0.017157 0.035965 0.086593
2025-07-06 0.001518 0.002584 0.004506 0.008453 0.017010 0.036475 0.090565
2025-07-13 0.001452 0.002502 0.004421 0.008435 0.017334 0.038135 0.098075
2025-07-20 0.001428 0.002493 0.004476 0.008709 0.018342 0.041605 0.111619
2025-07-27 0.001367 0.002414 0.004388 0.008673 0.018630 0.043314 0.120281
2025-08-03 0.001321 0.002358 0.004341 0.008722 0.019126 0.045633 0.131442